Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004212 0.004734 0.005324 0.006044 0.006909 0.007922 0.009217
2025-12-28 0.003600 0.004295 0.005150 0.006302 0.007849 0.009910 0.012970
2026-01-04 0.003181 0.003945 0.004941 0.006376 0.008470 0.011551 0.016736
2026-01-11 0.002849 0.003634 0.004702 0.006323 0.008849 0.012886 0.020484
2026-01-18 0.002615 0.003415 0.004544 0.006337 0.009299 0.014415 0.025174
2026-01-25 0.002388 0.003175 0.004317 0.006196 0.009452 0.015456 0.029387
2026-02-01 0.002170 0.002925 0.004043 0.005935 0.009338 0.015953 0.032651
2026-02-08 0.001984 0.002704 0.003790 0.005670 0.009163 0.016278 0.035676
2026-02-15 0.001893 0.002619 0.003737 0.005735 0.009611 0.018036 0.043752
2026-02-22 0.001779 0.002486 0.003596 0.005623 0.009691 0.018988 0.050126
2026-03-01 0.001668 0.002352 0.003440 0.005465 0.009643 0.019623 0.055987
2026-03-08 0.001576 0.002241 0.003312 0.005343 0.009652 0.020410 0.063252
2026-03-15 0.001527 0.002201 0.003312 0.005485 0.010318 0.023365 0.084833
2026-03-22 0.001494 0.002186 0.003353 0.005716 0.011263 0.027690 0.124066
2026-03-29 0.001439 0.002129 0.003315 0.005782 0.011823 0.031143 0.170006
2026-04-05 0.001374 0.002051 0.003231 0.005735 0.012085 0.033727 0.221092
2026-04-12 0.001323 0.001992 0.003176 0.005747 0.012511 0.037272 0.307459
2026-04-19 0.001259 0.001908 0.003068 0.005624 0.012527 0.039139 0.388936
2026-04-26 0.001188 0.001807 0.002920 0.005396 0.012188 0.039231 0.442230
2026-05-03 0.001122 0.001711 0.002776 0.005164 0.011800 0.038942 0.490950
2026-05-10 0.001093 0.001680 0.002756 0.005220 0.012319 0.043659 0.786943
2026-05-17 0.001049 0.001620 0.002676 0.005123 0.012327 0.045687 1.067724
2026-05-24 0.001004 0.001556 0.002583 0.004984 0.012172 0.046716 1.370091